Commodities

Identify your relevant leading indicators and
anticipate shifts in your market months in advance

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Commodities

Key drivers forecasting steel prices

Factors like supply and demand, raw material & energy costs impacts the price of steel.

However, the value lies in knowing exactly which holds the most weight & relevance at any given point in time.

< 3 mins

Time taken to
identify most
relevant indicators

27+

No. of leading
indicators tested

94%

Out-of-sample
forecast
accuracy

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Here are the leading indicators identified in Indicio:

Indicator name Influence
Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma ⭐⭐⭐
Producer Price Index by Commodity: Metals and Metal Products: Carbon Steel Scrap ⭐⭐⭐
China, Steel Index (Shcnsi) ⭐⭐⭐
London Metal Exchange (LME)-Copper Hamburg Warehouse Stocks ⭐⭐⭐
United States, Manufacturers Inventories, Durable Goods, Iron and Steel Mills, Current Prices, USD ⭐⭐
Chinese Yuan Renminbi to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate ⭐⭐
Hot Rolled Plate / Coil Shcpi ⭐⭐
Industrial Production: Total Index, SA
United States, Pending Home Sales, United States, AR, SA, Index
Google trends: tata steel price
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units, SAAR
London Metal Exchange (LME)-Aluminium Baltimore Warehouse
London Metal Exchange (LME)-North American Special Aluminium Alloy Baltimore Warehouse Stocks
London Metal Exchange (LME)-Aluminium Bilbao Warehouse Stocks
Georgia, Exports, Commodities, Aluminium Waste and Scrap, USD
London Metal Exchange (LME)-Aluminium Alloy Genoa Warehouse

Top indicators identified

Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma

Crude oil is a key raw material in the production of steel, particularly in the manufacturing of steel products like pipes and tubes. Price fluctuations can impact the cost of energy and transportation, which are significant components of steel production costs.

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Producer Price Index by Commodity: Metals and Metal Products: Carbon Steel Scrap

Changes in the price of carbon steel scrap can directly impact the production costs for steel manufacturers. When the price of carbon steel scrap increases, it can lead to higher input costs for steel production, which may result in higher steel prices.

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China, Steel Index (Shcnsi)

China is the world's largest producer and consumer of steel. The performance of the Chinese steel market has a significant impact on global steel prices. It thus provides insights into the trends and dynamics of the Chinese steel market, which can influence steel prices worldwide.

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Case

Here's how a customer in the commodities sector improved its forecasting process & accuracy by more than 50%

Going from using the same 5 indicators, to testing a large set of indicators, they received immediate feedback on which indicators to use or consider for each forecast.

This also gave them the ability to track market trend shifts at a higher frequency and improve their forecasts.

Read their story

What our customers say

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Indicio advances our digital strategy of becoming a data-driven organization, producing accurate forecasts in a fraction of time.

Alexander Noren, a customer that used Indicio

Alexander Norén

Head of Analysis
Skanska

Indicio tells us how our market
will evolve 'without emotions' which aligns everyone from management to production.

Steven Van Poecke, Toyota, customer of Indicio.

Steven Van Poecke

Market Intelligence
Toyota Material Handling Europe

Instrumental in helping us achieve higher efficiency in a
short period of time.

Anders Nordberg, LF Bank, customer of Indicio.

Anders Nordberg

Head of Macro
LF Bank