For automotive suppliers

Minimize the bullwhip effect with responsive, flexible forecasting

With higher demand forecast accuracy, you can move at your own speed and make strategic production decisions.

Grounded on sound, unbiased data.

  • Gain a competitive edge by stabilizing your production line
  • Save costs across the supply chain
  • Move forward confidently in your long-term planning
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goal

Gain a competitive edge by stabilizing your production line

As the demand for your products is typically dictated by a partner’s expectations, how do you balance their estimates and your inventory level, and safeguard against fluctuations? One of these expectations could be wanting to ensure product availability from you as the supplier.

To stabilize the production line, and minimize under-or overproduction, you would need an independent and highly accurate forecast for the actual future sales volumes.

Through a model that predicts future sales based on leading indicators, it is possible to obtain an accurate forecast. One that will reflect actual customer demand, giving you an unbiased forecast that is independent of the vested interests of your partner.

GOAL

Save costs across the supply chain

We probably can’t do away altogether with end-customer demand variations, especially when these changes happen during the span of two weeks.

However, by planning ahead, you can buffer the impact of these potential shifts in a cost-effective way, and manage the impact of inconsistencies.

Improving the accuracy of your demand forecasting will reduce the level of stock needed, culminating in cost savings.

Key drivers forecasting passenger car registrations in the Euro Zone

Fluctuations in factors such as macroeconomic drivers, fuel prices, regulatory environment, and market conditions can affect the registration numbers.

Assessing and anticipating these factors is vital for anticipating market trends in the passenger car industry.

< 3 mins

Time taken to
identify most
relevant indicators

32

No. of leading
indicators tested

96%

MAPE
forecast
accuracy

*Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators, the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
View full forecast resultsGet on the list to receive the latest indicators

Here are the leading indicators identified using Indicio:

Main variable: Euro Zone, New Passenger Car Registration, Total, Calendar Adjusted, SA
Indicator name Influence
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Production Expectations, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA ⭐⭐⭐⭐
China, Freight Transport Turnover, Total ⭐⭐
Consumer Survey, All Respondents, Total, Intention to Buy A Car Within the Next 12 Months, Euro Zone, Balance, SA ⭐⭐
China, Freight Transport Turnover, Waterway ⭐⭐
Germany, Orders Received, New Orders, Manufacturing Industry, Constant Prices, Calendar Adjusted, SA, Index, 2015 = 100 ⭐⭐
Germany, Production, Manufacturing Industry, Constant Prices, Calendar Adjusted, SA, Index, 2015 = 100
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Stocks of Finished Products, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA
Trend: Euro Zone, New Passenger Car Registration, Total, Calendar Adjusted, SA
Retail confidence indicator EU27
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Employment Expectations, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Production Trend Observed in Recent Months, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balan
Economic sentiment indicator EU27
Consumer confidence indicator EU27
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Order Books, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA
Consumer Survey, All Respondents, Total, Consumer Confidence Indicator, Euro Zone, Balance

Top indicators identified

Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Production Expectations, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA

This variable provides valuable insights into the expectations and sentiment of the manufacturing sector.

The production expectations captured in the industry survey reflect the anticipated level of manufacturing activity in the Euro Zone.

How we can help you

China, Freight Transport Turnover, Total

This variable typically does not have a direct causal relationship with the passenger car registrations.

However, its relationship with automotive production is a factor that is worth considering.

How we can help you

Consumer Survey, All Respondents, Total, Intention to Buy A Car Within the Next 12 Months, Euro Zone, Balance, SA

This variable provides insights into the intentions of individuals in the Euro Zone regarding car purchases within the next 12 months, which can directly impact new passenger car registrations.

How we can help you

What our customers say

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Indicio advances our digital strategy of becoming a data-driven organization, producing accurate forecasts in a fraction of time.

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Alexander Norén

Head of Analysis
Skanska

Indicio tells us how our market will evolve 'without emotions' which aligns everyone from management to production.

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Steven Van Poecke

Market Intelligence
Toyota Material Handling

Instrumental in helping us achieve higher efficiency in a short period of time.

Anders Nordberg, LF Bank, customer of Indicio.

Anders Nordberg

Head of Macro
LF Bank
Customer Case

How an automotive leader improved their forecast accuracy by 40%

Challenge
Minimize forecast error margin, and extend coverage of more markets for both demand and production.

Solution
Using Indicio, there is now a continuous forecasting minimized error margin, they've identified new and stronger market leading indicators, improving forecast accuracy, and have established a structured forecasting process for all markets.

Read their story

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