Forecasting New Home Sales in the US requires analyzing a blend of factors: Economic indicators like interest rates, employment levels, and overall economic health play a pivotal role, as do demographic shifts including population growth and urbanization trends. Policy decisions, encompassing government housing initiatives, zoning laws, and monetary policy, significantly influence market dynamics.
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This variable represents the total construction spending in the United States, measured in current prices and expressed in U.S. dollars. The data is seasonally adjusted (SA) and presented as an annual rate (AR), reflecting the value of construction work done over a given period.
CPI measures the average change in prices over time. This index reflects the overall cost of living and is seasonally adjusted (SA) to account for predictable fluctuations, providing a clearer view of underlying inflation trends. The CPI-U is widely used as an economic indicator to gauge inflation and adjust income payments, such as Social Security.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days. Often called the "fear gauge," the VIX is calculated using the prices of S&P 500 index options and reflects investor sentiment. A higher VIX indicates higher expected volatility, while a lower VIX suggests calmer market conditions.
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