Forecasting passenger car registrations in the Euro Zone

Forecasting passenger car registrations in the Euro Zone requires analyzing a blend of Macroeconomic factors such as production expectations, freight volume from China, and surveys such as Intention to Buy A Car Within the Next 12 Months.

Assessing and anticipating these factors is vital for anticipating market trends in the passenger car industry.

< 3 mins

Time taken to
identify most
relevant indicators

32

No. of leading
indicators tested

96%

MAPE
forecast
accuracy

*Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators, the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
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Here are the leading indicators identified using Indicio:

Main variable: Euro Zone, New Passenger Car Registration, Total, Calendar Adjusted, SA
Indicator name Influence
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Production Expectations, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA ⭐⭐⭐⭐
China, Freight Transport Turnover, Total ⭐⭐
Consumer Survey, All Respondents, Total, Intention to Buy A Car Within the Next 12 Months, Euro Zone, Balance, SA ⭐⭐
China, Freight Transport Turnover, Waterway ⭐⭐
Germany, Orders Received, New Orders, Manufacturing Industry, Constant Prices, Calendar Adjusted, SA, Index, 2015 = 100 ⭐⭐
Germany, Production, Manufacturing Industry, Constant Prices, Calendar Adjusted, SA, Index, 2015 = 100
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Stocks of Finished Products, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA
Trend: Euro Zone, New Passenger Car Registration, Total, Calendar Adjusted, SA
Retail confidence indicator EU27
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Employment Expectations, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Production Trend Observed in Recent Months, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balan
Economic sentiment indicator EU27
Consumer confidence indicator EU27
Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Order Books, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA
Consumer Survey, All Respondents, Total, Consumer Confidence Indicator, Euro Zone, Balance

Top indicators identified

Euro Zone, Industry Survey, Total Manufacturing, Production Expectations, Business Surveys, Euro Zone, Balance, SA

This variable provides valuable insights into the expectations and sentiment of the manufacturing sector.

The production expectations captured in the industry survey reflect the anticipated level of manufacturing activity in the Euro Zone.

How we can help you

China, Freight Transport Turnover, Total

This variable typically does not have a direct causal relationship with the passenger car registrations.

However, its relationship with automotive production is a factor that is worth considering.

How we can help you

Consumer Survey, All Respondents, Total, Intention to Buy A Car Within the Next 12 Months, Euro Zone, Balance, SA

This variable provides insights into the intentions of individuals in the Euro Zone regarding car purchases within the next 12 months, which can directly impact new passenger car registrations.

How we can help you

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